President Vladimir Putin’s military adventure in
Syria has boosted Russia’s global influence, but it
hasn’t delivered everything he wanted, said Vladimir
Frolov. Russian airpower “has indeed changed
the trajectory of the war” and allowed our ally Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad to consolidate control
over most of western Syria. And the Syrian ceasefire
deal agreed to by the U.S. and Russia in February
“perfectly reflects Moscow’s traditional vision
for such settlements—the two superpowers dictating
terms to their proxies.” But Putin had hoped
to achieve so much more from his intervention.
His real goal was “to revive the bipolar format of
Russian-U.S. cooperation and rivalry for influence
that existed during the Cold War,” and that mission
remains incomplete. The U.S., for example, shows
no inclination to solve the war in Ukraine or any
other conflict through bilateral talks with Russia.
Nor will the U.S. view Russia as an equal until the
Kremlin stops seeing everything as a zero-sum game
in which a win for the U.S. must be a loss for Russia.
Right now, Russia has been “gaining leverage
by making itself first part of the problem” and then
magnanimously removing itself again. A bilateral
world won’t come about unless Russia is willing to
start “jointly developing solutions.”
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